
Stats updated: Mar 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Coen Collier has gone over 8.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 69% | 9/13 | ||
| 8.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 |
Over 8.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
PRES allows 18.5 PRA per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableOver his last 10 games, Coen Collier has gone over 8.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 46% across the full season. PRES has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 49th-most PRA of 479 teams (18.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Assists hit rates and trends.
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Steals hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.