Bellarmine Knights

Donovan Hunter Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Mar 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Donovan Hunter has gone over 10.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 3 seasons

Verdict

vs 10.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 56% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral

Projection vs line56neutral

Consistency8argues against it

Projection

10.1 FS(×0.92 context)

L5 9.6 · L10 12.5 · med 10.9

Consistency

Variable

floor 7.5 · ceil 13.9

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2019 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Season19 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	78%	14/18
	58%	11/19
	58%	11/19
10.5Current	47%	9/19
	32%	6/19
	26%	5/19
	26%	5/19

Last 19 games — FS per game vs. line 10.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 10.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home63%5/8Low

Away36%4/11Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day0%0/3Low

3+ days54%7/13Low

Last matchup — vs APSU

Feb 28, 2026

268thof 708 in FS allowed to forwards

APSU allows 19.7 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 75 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Donovan Hunter has gone over 10.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 47% across the full season. APSU has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 268th-most FS of 708 teams (19.7 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.