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Stonehill SkyhawksEthan Meuser Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Mar 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Ethan Meuser has gone over 30.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 27.2 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 30.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 6/100· model 50% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency40neutral
Projection
30.0 FS(×1.05 context)
L5 30.8 · L10 27.2 · med 30.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 18.1 · ceil 35.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 108 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 208 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season8 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 2 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 30.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 25% | 2/8 | ||
| 25% | 2/8 |
Situational splits
Over 30.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/2Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days50%2/4Low
Last matchup — @ LEM
Mar 5, 2026
134thof 708 in FS allowed to forwards
LEM allows 21.8 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 44 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 8 games, Ethan Meuser has gone over 30.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LEM has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 134th-most FS of 708 teams (21.8 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 9.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Ethan Meuser research
Ethan Meuser — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Meuser Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Meuser Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Meuser 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Meuser Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.