East Carolina Pirates

Giovanni Emejuru Turnovers

Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Giovanni Emejuru has gone over 2.5 TOV in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Line

Turnovers · season avg 2.2 TOV

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Verdict

vs 2.5 TOVTurnovers

Cool underFireFactor 27/100· model 62% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it

Projection vs line62supports it

Consistency6argues against it

Projection

2.1 TOV(×1.04 context)

L5 2.0 · L10 1.8 · med 2.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

small sample

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2016 games

38%over

6 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 18%–61%

Season16 games

38%over

6 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 18%–61%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	94%	15/16
	69%	11/16
2.5Current	38%	6/16
	13%	2/16
	6%	1/16
	0%	0/16

Last 16 games — TOV per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home22%2/9Low

Away57%4/7Low

Days since last game

1 day50%1/2Low

2 days50%1/2Low

3+ days27%3/11Low

Last matchup — @ UAB

Mar 8, 2026

402ndof 479 in TOV allowed to centers

UAB allows 0.5 TOV per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Giovanni Emejuru has gone over 2.5 TOV 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 38% across the full season. UAB has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 402nd-most TOV of 479 teams (0.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.