Yale Bulldogs

Jack Sullivan Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Mar 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jack Sullivan has gone over 6.5 PRA in 5 of his last 9 decided games (56%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: Rookie

Line

Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 5.9 PRA

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Verdict

vs 6.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 34% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it

Projection vs line34argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

4.3 PRA(×0.90 context)

L5 3.6 · L10 5.9 · med 7.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.0 · ceil 10.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 109 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Last 209 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Season9 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	56%	5/9
	56%	5/9
	56%	5/9
6.5Current	56%	5/9
	33%	3/9
	33%	3/9
	22%	2/9

Last 9 games — PRA per game vs. line 6.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 6.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home60%3/5Low

Away50%2/4Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

3+ days57%4/7Low

Last matchup — @ COLU

Feb 28, 2026

492ndof 708 in PRA allowed to forwards

COLU allows 13.2 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 50 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 9 games, Jack Sullivan has gone over 6.5 PRA 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. COLU has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 492nd-most PRA of 708 teams (13.2 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.