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Colgate RaidersJalen Cox
#3 · G · 6' 3" · 180 lb · 17 games
Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 23.1 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 23.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 46% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency47neutral
Projection
25.5 PTS(×1.02 context)
L5 25.8 · L10 25.2 · med 24.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 17.4 · ceil 28.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2017 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Season17 games
47%over
8 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–69%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 12/17 | ||
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 53% | 9/17 | ||
| 23.5Current | 47% | 8/17 | |
| 41% | 7/17 | ||
| 41% | 7/17 | ||
| 24% | 4/17 |
Situational splits
Over 23.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home38%3/8Low
Away56%5/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day67%2/3Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days30%3/10Low
Last matchup — @ LEH
Mar 8, 2026
299thof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
LEH allows 9.9 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 111 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jalen Cox has gone over 23.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. LEH has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 299th-most PTS of 726 teams (9.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.