Bucknell Bison

Jayden Williams Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Mar 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jayden Williams has gone over 16.5 PRA in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 2 seasons

Line

Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 16.4 PRA

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Verdict

vs 16.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral

Projection vs line43neutral

Consistency48neutral

Projection

14.4 PRA(×1.00 context)

L5 13.4 · L10 15.2 · med 15.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 11.2 · ceil 21.4

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2019 games

53%over

10 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%

Season19 games

53%over

10 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	68%	13/19
	58%	11/19
	58%	11/19
16.5Current	53%	10/19
	47%	9/19
	47%	9/19
	37%	7/19

Last 19 games — PRA per game vs. line 16.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 16.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home63%5/8Low

Away45%5/11Low

Days since last game

1 day43%3/7Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days60%6/10Low

Last matchup — @ NAVY

Mar 6, 2026

482ndof 726 in PRA allowed to guards

NAVY allows 13.3 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 97 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Jayden Williams has gone over 16.5 PRA 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 53% across the full season. NAVY has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 482nd-most PRA of 726 teams (13.3 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.