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Nevada Wolf PackJeriah Coleman Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Mar 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jeriah Coleman has gone over 5.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.0 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 7/100· model 69% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it
Projection vs line69supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
8.7 FS(×1.10 context)
L5 10.3 · L10 7.4 · med 6.4
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 3.4 · ceil 9.9
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 77% | 10/13 | ||
| 69% | 9/13 | ||
| 5.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days58%7/12Low
Last matchup — vs AF
Mar 11, 2026
315thof 479 in FS allowed to centers
AF allows 15.7 FS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 10 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jeriah Coleman has gone over 5.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 54% across the full season. AF has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 315th-most FS of 479 teams (15.7 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.
More Jeriah Coleman research
Jeriah Coleman — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Coleman Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Coleman Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Coleman 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Coleman Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.