North Alabama Lions

King Walker Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Feb 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

King Walker has gone over 1.5 FS in 4 of his last 5 decided games (80%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: Rookie

Verdict

vs 1.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Warm overFireFactor 48/100· model 67% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line67supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

2.1 FS(×1.00 context)

L5 2.0 · L10 2.4 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.5 · ceil 2.4

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

100%over

3 over · 0 under · 2 push

Low confidence95% CI 44%–100%

Last 107 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under · 2 push

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 207 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under · 2 push

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Season7 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under · 2 push

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	86%	6/7
1.5Current	80%	4/5
	14%	1/7
	14%	1/7
	14%	1/7

Last 7 games — FS per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%2/2Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

1 day100%2/2Low

3+ days50%1/2Low

Last matchup — vs BELL

Feb 26, 2026

252ndof 726 in FS allowed to guards

BELL allows 19.6 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 104 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 7 games, King Walker has gone over 1.5 FS 4 of 5 decided times (80%) — versus 80% across the full season. BELL has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 252nd-most FS of 726 teams (19.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 80%.