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Wyoming CowboysLeland Walker
#5 · G · 6' 1" · 181 lb · 18 games
Stats updated: Mar 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 15.1 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 13.5 PTSPointsCool underFireFactor 23/100· model 57% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)77supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency26argues against it
Projection
12.3 PTS(×1.04 context)
L5 9.8 · L10 12.2 · med 12.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.4 · ceil 21.2
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2018 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Season18 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 13/18 | ||
| 67% | 12/18 | ||
| 67% | 12/18 | ||
| 13.5Current | 44% | 8/18 | |
| 39% | 7/18 | ||
| 28% | 5/18 | ||
| 28% | 5/18 |
Situational splits
Over 13.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away45%5/11Low
Days since last game
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days50%6/12Low
Last matchup — @ WICH
Mar 17, 2026
61stof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
WICH allows 11.8 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 105 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Leland Walker has gone over 13.5 PTS 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 44% across the full season. WICH has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 61st-most PTS of 726 teams (11.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.