Loading…
Green Bay PhoenixMaruan Cicic
#20 · C · 7' 0" · 11 games
Stats updated: Feb 22, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 4.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsWarm overFireFactor 39/100· model 50% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)97supports it
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
5.3 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 6.4 · L10 5.4 · med 6.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 6.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2011 games
64%over
7 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–85%Season11 games
64%over
7 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–85%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 8/11 | ||
| 73% | 8/11 | ||
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 5.5Current | 64% | 7/11 | |
| 18% | 2/11 | ||
| 18% | 2/11 | ||
| 9% | 1/11 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%4/4Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day0%0/1Low
3+ days88%7/8Medium
Last matchup — @ MILW
Feb 15, 2026
285thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
MILW allows 6.4 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Maruan Cicic has gone over 5.5 PTS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 64% across the full season. MILW has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 285th-most PTS of 479 teams (6.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.