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Purdue BoilermakersOscar Cluff
#45 · C · 12 games
Stats updated: Mar 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 13.3 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 PTSPointsCool underFireFactor 21/100· model 48% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency46neutral
Projection
13.4 PTS(×1.04 context)
L5 12.4 · L10 13.4 · med 12.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.4 · ceil 16.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Season12 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 9/12 | ||
| 75% | 9/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 12.5Current | 42% | 5/12 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 25% | 3/12 | ||
| 25% | 3/12 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days25%2/8Low
Last matchup — @ ARIZ
Mar 29, 2026
275thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
ARIZ allows 6.5 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Oscar Cluff has gone over 12.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 42% across the full season. ARIZ has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 275th-most PTS of 479 teams (6.5 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.