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UC Riverside HighlandersOsiris Grady Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Mar 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Osiris Grady has gone over 23.5 FS in 4 of his last 9 decided games (44%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 24.5 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 23.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 10/100· model 59% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency40argues against it
Projection
21.3 FS(×0.94 context)
L5 21.6 · L10 23.0 · med 23.1
Consistency
Variable
floor 18.9 · ceil 29.1
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
25%over
1 over · 3 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%Last 1010 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 2020 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Season20 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 15/20 | ||
| 63% | 12/19 | ||
| 55% | 11/20 | ||
| 23.5Current | 47% | 9/19 | |
| 45% | 9/20 | ||
| 40% | 8/20 | ||
| 40% | 8/20 |
Situational splits
Over 23.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away36%4/11Low
Days since last game
1 day60%3/5Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days36%4/11Low
Last matchup — @ HAW
Mar 6, 2026
503rdof 708 in FS allowed to forwards
HAW allows 17.0 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 56 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Osiris Grady has gone over 23.5 FS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 47% across the full season. HAW has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 503rd-most FS of 708 teams (17.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 8.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.
More Osiris Grady research
Osiris Grady — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Grady Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Grady Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Grady 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Grady Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.