IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Reece Hagy Blocks

Stats updated: Mar 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Reece Hagy has gone over 0.5 BLK in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: Rookie

Line

Blocks · season avg 0.5 BLK

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Verdict

vs 0.5 BLKBlocks

Cool underFireFactor 23/100· model 65% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)88supports it

Projection vs line65supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.4 BLK(×1.10 context)

L5 0.4 · L10 0.5 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2011 games

36%over

4 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%

Season11 games

36%over

4 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%

Alternate lines — Blocks (BLK)

BLK over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLK line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	36%	4/11
	9%	1/11
	0%	0/11
	0%	0/11

Last 11 games — BLK per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BLK by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home25%1/4Low

Away43%3/7Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days50%4/8Low

Last matchup — vs CLE

Feb 7, 2026

329thof 708 in BLK allowed to forwards

CLE allows 0.6 BLK per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 67 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Reece Hagy has gone over 0.5 BLK 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 36% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 329th-most BLK of 708 teams (0.6 per game). His game-to-game BLK have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.