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Florida GatorsRueben Chinyelu
#9 · C · 6' 10" · 265 lb · 9 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 8 of these 9 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line1.3×
Points · season avg 10.8 PTS · DK Pick6 lineSave this DK Pick6 prop to your Playbook to track it
DK Pick6 payout options — Points (PTS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation. Payout-wt= season over rate × the rung’s multiplier — a per-leg comparison against the standard line’s 1×. Descriptive research, not betting advice.
Verdict
vs 11.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 35% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency30argues against it
Projection
9.6 PTS(×1.00 context)
L5 9.2 · L10 10.8 · med 11.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 6.6 · ceil 13.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Scored against this payout variant's ~38% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Situational splits
Over 11.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days17%1/6Low
Last matchup — vs MIA
Nov 2, 2026
114thof 230 in PTS allowed to centers
MIA allows 4.0 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Rueben Chinyelu has gone over 11.5 PTS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. MIA has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 114th-most PTS of 230 teams (4.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
1 book @ 10.5 PTS- No-vig fair (over)
- 45.5%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 54.5%
Best Over
BetMGM+105
-6.6% EV
Best Under
BetMGM-140
-6.6% EV
Model vs market (over)-10.1%
Our model puts the over at 35.5% vs the market's no-vig 45.5%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (8 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.