Bethesda Flames

Taeo Thomas Rebounds

Stats updated: Nov 18, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Taeo Thomas has gone over 3.5 REB in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 4 seasons

Line

Rebounds · season avg 4.0 REB

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Verdict

vs 3.5 REBRebounds

Hot overFireFactor 61/100· model 59% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line59neutral

Consistency100supports it

Projection

4.0 REB

L5 4.0 · L10 4.0 · med 4.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 4.0 · ceil 4.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)

REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
3.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — REB per game vs. line 3.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 3.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away100%1/1Low

Last matchup — @ UCI

Nov 4, 2025

148thof 726 in REB allowed to guards

UCI allows 3.6 REB per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 105 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 1 games, Taeo Thomas has gone over 3.5 REB 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. UCI has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 148th-most REB of 726 teams (3.6 per game). His game-to-game REB have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.