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Lehigh Mountain HawksTommy Conniff
#44 · C · 6' 11" · 260 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Mar 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 0.8 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.7 PTS
L5 0.8 · L10 0.8 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
Last matchup — @ BU
Jan 14, 2026
16thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
BU allows 13.2 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Tommy Conniff has gone over 0.5 PTS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. BU has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 16th-most PTS of 479 teams (13.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.