Texas Southern Tigers

Troy Hupstead Rebounds

Stats updated: Feb 22, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Troy Hupstead has gone over 10.5 REB in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 4 seasons

Line

Rebounds · season avg 10.7 REB

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Verdict

vs 10.5 REBRebounds

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 46% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral

Projection vs line46neutral

Consistency28argues against it

Projection

10.0 REB(×1.01 context)

L5 8.6 · L10 11.8 · med 12.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 6.2 · ceil 15.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2014 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Season14 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)

REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	71%	10/14
	71%	10/14
	57%	8/14
10.5Current	50%	7/14
	43%	6/14
	43%	6/14
	36%	5/14

Last 14 games — REB per game vs. line 10.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 10.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home43%3/7Low

Away57%4/7Low

Days since last game

1 day0%0/1Low

2 days50%2/4Low

3+ days63%5/8Low

Last matchup — @ UAPB

Feb 20, 2026

348thof 708 in REB allowed to forwards

UAPB allows 4.9 REB per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 67 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Troy Hupstead has gone over 10.5 REB 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 50% across the full season. UAPB has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 348th-most REB of 708 teams (4.9 per game). His game-to-game REB have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.