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Morehead State EaglesTyonne Farrell Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Tyonne Farrell has gone over 12.5 FS in 6 of his last 9 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.2 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)Hot overFireFactor 51/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency26argues against it
Projection
11.6 FS(×0.90 context)
L5 11.8 · L10 12.8 · med 12.9
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.5 · ceil 17.4
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 1010 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Last 2014 games
69%over
9 over · 4 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–87%Season14 games
69%over
9 over · 4 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–87%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 12.5Current | 69% | 9/13 | |
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 29% | 4/14 | ||
| 21% | 3/14 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away71%5/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days63%5/8Low
Last matchup — @ LR
Feb 27, 2026
485thof 708 in FS allowed to forwards
LR allows 17.4 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 62 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyonne Farrell has gone over 12.5 FS 6 of 9 decided times (67%) — versus 69% across the full season. LR has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 485th-most FS of 708 teams (17.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 69%.
More Tyonne Farrell research
Tyonne Farrell — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Farrell Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Farrell Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Farrell 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Farrell Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.