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San José State SpartansYaphet Moundi Steals
Stats updated: Dec 31, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Yaphet Moundi has gone over 1.5 STL in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Steals · season avg 1.7 STLSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 1.5 STLStealsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.5 STL(×1.02 context)
L5 1.6 · L10 1.7 · med 1.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Steals (STL)
STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 5/6 | ||
| 1.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 0% | 0/6 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%2/5Low
Last matchup — @ UNM
Dec 21, 2025
459thof 708 in STL allowed to forwards
UNM allows 0.5 STL per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, Yaphet Moundi has gone over 1.5 STL 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. UNM has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 459th-most STL of 708 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Yaphet Moundi research
Yaphet Moundi — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Moundi Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Moundi Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Moundi 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Moundi Blocks→
Blocks hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.