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Los Angeles AngelsAdam Frazier
#20 · 2B · 5-10 · 190 lb · 28 games
Stats updated: Aug 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.6 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListAdam Frazier isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Elbow Inflammation
- Est. return:
- Aug 4, 2026
Frazier had previously made six appearances with Triple-A Salt Lake, slashing .217/.280/.304 with two doubles and two RBI. The veteran utility man is recovering from right elbow inflammation and was able to log a full nine innings on the field July 26 for the first time during his rehab stint. Frazier is expected to play a few games with Rancho Cucamonga before potentially being activated, per MLB.com.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
0.3 H(×0.97 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.2 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
35%over
7 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%Season28 games
39%over
11 over · 17 under
Medium confidence95% CI 24%–58%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 39% | 11/28 | |
| 14% | 4/28 | ||
| 4% | 1/28 | ||
| 0% | 0/28 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home36%5/14Medium
Away43%6/14Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)42%5/12Low
1 day67%2/3Low
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days29%2/7Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Yoán Moncada out · Right Knee Surgery-0.2 H when he sits
Without (7g)
0.4 H
14% over 0.5
With (21g)
0.6 H
48% over 0.5
Sebastián Rivero out · Left Hand Surgery+0.5 H when he sits
Without (22g)
0.7 H
45% over 0.5
With (6g)
0.2 H
17% over 0.5
Next matchup — @ MIA
Aug 7, 2026
26thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
MIA pitching allows 7.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 H 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 39% across the full season. MIA has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 26th-most H of 30 teams (7.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Angel Stadium · Los Angeles Angels
neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×1.02)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 39%.