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New York MetsAndrew Ewing
#9 · CF · 5-10 · 160 lb · 107 games
Stats updated: Sep 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsHot overFireFactor 56/100· model 67% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)91supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
1.1 H(×1.11 context)
L5 1.2 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
65%over
13 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 43%–82%Season107 games
64%over
68 over · 39 under
High confidence95% CI 54%–72%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 64% | 68/107 | |
| 26% | 28/107 | ||
| 7% | 7/107 | ||
| 1% | 1/107 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%36/58High
Away65%32/49Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)60%51/85High
1 day71%12/17Medium
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jorge Polanco out · Left Ankle Surgery
Without (84g)
1.0 H
65% over 0.5
With (23g)
0.9 H
57% over 0.5
Jared Young out · Concussion Concussion-0.1 H when he sits
Without (21g)
0.9 H
62% over 0.5
With (86g)
1.0 H
64% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs PHI
Sep 20, 2026
11thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
PHI pitching allows 8.4 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 154 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Andrew Ewing has gone over 0.5 H 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 64% across the full season. PHI has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 11th-most H of 30 teams (8.4 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Citi Field · New York Mets
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.96, HR ×0.95)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.