Houston Astros

Brice Matthews RBIs

Stats updated: Jul 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Brice Matthews has gone over 0.5 RBI in 2 of his last 10 decided games (20%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 2 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRBIs · season avg 0.3 RBI · our line

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Injured ListBrice Matthews isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Knee Sprain
Est. return:: Aug 15, 2026

Matthews hurt his knee when he collided with the outfield wall with two outs in the bottom of the first while attempting to reel in a deep fly off the bat of Josh Jung. Taylor Trammell pinch hit for Matthews when his first turn in the batting order came up in the second inning. Trammell will likely serve as the Astros' primary option in center field if the knee issue forces Matthews to the injured list coming out of the All-Star break.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RBIRBIs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 77% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line77supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.4 RBI(×0.94 context)

L5 0.8 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

20%over

2 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%

Last 2020 games

15%over

3 over · 17 under

Medium confidence95% CI 5%–36%

Season61 games

23%over

14 over · 47 under

High confidence95% CI 14%–35%

Alternate lines — RBIs (RBI)

RBI over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RBI line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	23%	14/61
	7%	4/61
	3%	2/61
	0%	0/61

Last 20 games — RBI per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RBI by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home8%2/24High

Away32%12/37Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)14%5/36High

1 day33%4/12Low

2 days50%2/4Low

3+ days29%2/7Low

With a teammate out

How this RBI line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Carlos Correa out · Left Ankle Surgery-0.4 RBI when he sits

Without (42g)

0.2 RBI

14% over 0.5

With (19g)

0.6 RBI

42% over 0.5

Next matchup — vs TOR

Aug 5, 2026

17thof 30 in RBI allowed to hitters

TOR pitching allows 4.2 RBI per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 113 games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Brice Matthews has gone over 0.5 RBI 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 23% across the full season. TOR has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 17th-most RBI of 30 teams (4.2 per game). His game-to-game RBI have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Daikin Park · Houston Astros

neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.02)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 23%.