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San Francisco GiantsBryson Eldridge
#8 · DH · 6-7 · 251 lb · 70 games
Stats updated: Aug 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Hits · season avg 0.9 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 8/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.7 H(×0.95 context)
L5 0.8 · L10 0.7 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season70 games
63%over
44 over · 26 under
High confidence95% CI 51%–73%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 63% | 44/70 | |
| 21% | 15/70 | ||
| 4% | 3/70 | ||
| 1% | 1/70 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%19/34Medium
Away69%25/36Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)64%32/50Medium
1 day57%8/14Low
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Matt Chapman out · Not Specified Abdomen Strain-0.2 H when he sits
Without (30g)
0.8 H
60% over 0.5
With (40g)
1.0 H
65% over 0.5
Casey Schmitt out · Left Knee Surgery-0.1 H when he sits
Without (10g)
0.8 H
60% over 0.5
With (60g)
0.9 H
63% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs DET
Aug 8, 2026
24thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
DET pitching allows 7.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Bryson Eldridge has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 63% across the full season. DET has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 24th-most H of 30 teams (7.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 63%.