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Texas RangersCal Quantrill
#44 · P · 6-3 · 195 lb · 32 games
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Canada
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 2.5 K · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Injured ListInjured ListCal Quantrill isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Lat Strain
- Est. return:
- Mar 27, 2027
Quantrill will not pitch again this season after being transferred to the 60-day IL Tuesday. The right-hander posted a 2.86 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 81:25 K:BB across 110 innings this season. Texas activated Michael Helman (hand) from the 60-day IL, replacing Quantrill on both the active and 40-man rosters.
Verdict
vs 3 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)76supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.1 K
L5 4.2 · L10 4.2 · med 4.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Season32 games
35%over
11 over · 20 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 21%–53%Situational splits
Over 3 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%4/16Medium
Away47%7/15Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days0%0/2Low
3+ days40%10/25Medium
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kyle Higashioka out · Right Forearm Strain+1.8 K when he sits
Without (21g)
3.1 K
50% over 3
With (11g)
1.4 K
9% over 3
Joc Pederson out · Left Hand Fracture-0.6 K when he sits
Without (4g)
2.0 K
33% over 3
With (28g)
2.6 K
36% over 3
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Cal Quantrill has gone over 3 K 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 35% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Market edgeauto
6 books @ 3.5 K- No-vig fair (over)
- 42.5%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 57.5%
Best Over
DraftKings+133
-1.1% EV
Best Under
RT Sports-137
-0.5% EV
Model vs market (over)-4.2%
Our model puts the over at 38.3% vs the market's no-vig 42.5%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (3.5 K). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 35%.