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Kansas City RoyalsCarlos Estévez
#53 · P · 6-6 · 277 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Mar 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.0 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListCarlos Estévez isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Shoulder Surgery
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Estevez began throwing in bridge league games at the Royals' complex in Arizona last week but wasn't making much progress, so the team will shut him down for the season, and the right-hander will go under the knife to address his strained rotator cuff. The 33-year-old appeared in just one game for the Royals this year, during which he gave up six earned runs while recording just one out. Kansas City is likely to decline his $13 million club option for next season.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Projection
0.0 K(×1.08 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 101 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 201 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Season1 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away0%0/1Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 1 games, Carlos Estévez has gone over 0.5 K 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City Royals
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×0.93)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.