Loading…
Tampa Bay RaysCole Sulser
#71 · P · 6-0 · 200 lb · 41 games
Stats updated: Jul 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 1.2 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListCole Sulser isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Back Spasms
- Est. return:
- Aug 10, 2026
Tampa Bay recalled right-hander Chris Roycroft from Triple-A Durham to take over Sulser's spot in the bullpen. Sulser, who owns a 4.86 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 46.1 innings with the Rays on the season, will be eligible to come off the IL on Aug. 10.
Verdict
vs 1.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 67% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)98supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.1 K
L5 1.0 · L10 1.1 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season41 games
34%over
14 over · 27 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–49%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 30/41 | ||
| 1.5Current | 34% | 14/41 | |
| 7% | 3/41 | ||
| 2% | 1/41 | ||
| 0% | 0/41 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home32%7/22Medium
Away37%7/19Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)17%1/6Low
1 day50%6/12Low
2 days29%4/14Medium
3+ days25%2/8Low
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jake Fraley out · Not Specified Groin Surgery+0.1 K when he sits
Without (28g)
1.2 K
32% over 1.5
With (13g)
1.1 K
38% over 1.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Cole Sulser has gone over 1.5 K 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 34% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Steinbrenner Field · Tampa Bay Rays
neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.04)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 34%.