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Texas RangersCorey Seager
#5 · SS · 6-4 · 215 lb · 101 games
Stats updated: Sep 27, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.9 HSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutCorey Seager isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Elbow Surgery
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young noted following the conclusion of the regular season that Seager could require an operation after battling through the elbow issue for months, and that's indeed what's happened. While the Rangers might ease Seager into things at the start of spring training, he should be fine for Opening Day. The 32-year-old shortstop had arguably his worst season in 2026, slashing .227/.312/.424 with 20 home runs in 102 tilts.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.8 H(×0.98 context)
L5 0.8 · L10 0.7 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
75%over
15 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 53%–89%Season101 games
57%over
58 over · 43 under
High confidence95% CI 48%–67%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 57% | 58/101 | |
| 25% | 25/101 | ||
| 4% | 4/101 | ||
| 0% | 0/101 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%28/50Medium
Away59%30/51Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)55%45/82High
1 day67%8/12Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Evan Carter out · Right Hip Surgery-0.2 H when he sits
Without (6g)
0.7 H
50% over 0.5
With (95g)
0.9 H
58% over 0.5
Last matchup — @ MIN
Sep 27, 2026
10thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
MIN pitching allows 8.5 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 162 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Corey Seager has gone over 0.5 H 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 57% across the full season. MIN has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 10th-most H of 30 teams (8.5 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.