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Los Angeles DodgersDalton Rushing Walks
Stats updated: Aug 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Dalton Rushing has gone over 0.5 BB in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Linepays more
Walks · season avg 0.4 BB · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListDalton Rushing isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Elbow Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 14, 2026
Scratched from the lineup ahead of Sunday's loss to the Red Sox due to what the Dodgers had labeled as minor arm irritation, Rushing will wind up on the IL a day later after follow-up tests revealed the elbow strain. The fact that Rushing's injury is being classified as mild bodes well for his chances of avoid an extended absences, but at least for the next week and a half, the Dodgers will be without both of their top two backstops. With Rushing and Will Smith (neck) on the shelf, the Dodgers bolstered their catching depth by acquiring Hunter Feduccia and Ben Rortvedt in trades Monday. Feduccia will join the big club and form a catching tandem with Eliezer Alfonzo.
Verdict
vs 0.5 BBWalksNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 22% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)25argues against it
Projection vs line35argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.1 BB(×0.88 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2020 games
25%over
5 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 11%–47%Season57 games
28%over
16 over · 41 under
High confidence95% CI 18%–41%Alternate lines — Walks (BB)
BB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 28% | 16/57 | |
| 5% | 3/57 | ||
| 2% | 1/57 | ||
| 0% | 0/57 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 BB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home23%6/26Medium
Away32%10/31Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)23%5/22Medium
1 day45%10/22Medium
2 days0%0/4Low
3+ days13%1/8Medium
Next matchup — @ CHC
Aug 5, 2026
24thof 30 in BB allowed to hitters
CHC pitching allows 3.0 BB per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 113 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dalton Rushing has gone over 0.5 BB 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 28% across the full season. CHC has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 24th-most BB of 30 teams (3.0 per game). His game-to-game BB have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles Dodgers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.08)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Market edgeauto
5 books @ 0.5 BB- No-vig fair (over)
- 24.2%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 75.8%
Best Under
DraftKings-424
-6.3% EV
Model vs market (over)-1.7%
Our model puts the over at 22.5% vs the market's no-vig 24.2%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Walks (BB)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (0.5 BB). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 28%.
More Dalton Rushing research
Dalton Rushing — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rushing Total Bases→
Total Bases hit rates and trends.
Rushing Home Runs→
Home Runs hit rates and trends.
Rushing RBIs→
RBIs hit rates and trends.
Rushing Runs→
Runs hit rates and trends.
Pitching Allowed by team→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
MLB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.