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AthleticsDenzel Clarke
#1 · CF · 6-3 · 220 lb · 18 games
Stats updated: Apr 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Canada
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.4 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListDenzel Clarke isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 11, 2026
Clarke hasn't played since April 20 due to a bone bruise in his foot before suffering a hamstring strain during a rehab game in late May. While he still needs to increase the intensity of his running progression, the hope is Clarke is playing in rehab games in the next 7-10 days. He's expected to need 30-45 plate appearances in the minors before returning to the Athletics' lineup. Henry Bolte has been manning center field during Clarke's absence.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.4 H(×0.87 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.5 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2018 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Season18 games
44%over
8 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–66%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 44% | 8/18 | |
| 0% | 0/18 | ||
| 0% | 0/18 | ||
| 0% | 0/18 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away40%4/10Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)42%5/12Low
1 day75%3/4Low
2 days0%0/1Low
Next matchup — @ CIN
Aug 6, 2026
13thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CIN pitching allows 8.2 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 113 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Denzel Clarke has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 44% across the full season. CIN has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 13th-most H of 30 teams (8.2 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Sutter Health Park · Athletics
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.03)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.