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San Diego PadresGavin Sheets Stolen Bases
Stats updated: Aug 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Gavin Sheets has gone over 0.5 SB in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Stolen Bases · season avg 0.0 SB · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListGavin Sheets isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Foot Sprain
- Est. return:
- Sep 22, 2026
Sheets landed on the injured list Aug. 30 due to a left foot sprain. As of Sept. 8 he was still in a walking boot, and it's not certain that he'll be ready to rejoin San Diego before the end of the campaign. If Sheets does manage to make it back, he probably wouldn't be put in the field. Luis Campusano and Austin Hays have been getting most of the Padres' starts at DH of late, and Sheets could get occasional starts there while also serving as a bench bat.
Verdict
vs 0.5 SBStolen BasesNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 97% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
0.0 SB(×0.94 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
0%over
0 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%Last 2020 games
0%over
0 over · 20 under
High confidence95% CI 0%–16%Season109 games
4%over
4 over · 105 under
High confidence95% CI 1%–9%Alternate lines — Stolen Bases (SB)
SB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 4% | 4/109 | |
| 0% | 0/109 | ||
| 0% | 0/109 | ||
| 0% | 0/109 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/53High
Away7%4/56High
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)3%2/76High
1 day9%2/23High
2 days0%0/4Low
3+ days0%0/5Medium
With a teammate out
How this SB line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Ramón Laureano out · Right Hip Surgery
Without (66g)
0.0 SB
3% over 0.5
With (43g)
0.0 SB
5% over 0.5
Miguel Andujar out · Right Wrist Fracture
Without (49g)
0.0 SB
2% over 0.5
With (60g)
0.1 SB
5% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs MIA
Sep 20, 2026
5thof 30 in SB allowed to hitters
MIA pitching allows 0.8 SB per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 154 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Gavin Sheets has gone over 0.5 SB 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 4% across the full season. MIA has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 5th-most SB of 30 teams (0.8 per game). His game-to-game SB have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Petco Park · San Diego Padres
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.95, HR ×0.96)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 4%.
More Gavin Sheets research
Gavin Sheets — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Sheets Total Bases→
Total Bases hit rates and trends.
Sheets Home Runs→
Home Runs hit rates and trends.
Sheets RBIs→
RBIs hit rates and trends.
Sheets Runs→
Runs hit rates and trends.
Pitching Allowed by team→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
MLB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.