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Los Angeles AngelsGustavo Campero
#51 · OF · 5-6 · 183 lb · 3 games
Stats updated: Aug 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Colombia
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListGustavo Campero isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Campero suffered a right hamstring strain in late August and subsequently landed on the IL. He's spent most of 2026 in the minors, compiling a .313/.389/.914 slash line with 13 homers, 61 runs, 54 RBI and 12 stolen bases over 69 games across three levels. If Campero's season is indeed over, he'll end up having gone 4-for-11 with one double and two RBI over four contests with the Angels.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.0 H
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.4 · ceil 1.6
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 53 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 103 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 203 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Season3 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 67% | 2/3 | |
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 0% | 0/3 | ||
| 0% | 0/3 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
Last matchup — vs CLE
Aug 24, 2026
21stof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CLE pitching allows 7.9 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 155 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 3 games, Gustavo Campero has gone over 0.5 H 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. CLE has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 21st-most H of 30 teams (7.9 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Angel Stadium · Los Angeles Angels
neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×1.02)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.