San Francisco Giants

Harrison Bader RBIs

Stats updated: May 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 RBI in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 10 seasons

Line

RBIs · season avg 0.5 RBI

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OutHarrison Bader isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
Est. return:: Feb 1, 2027

The transaction clears room on the 40-man roster for left-hander Matt Wilkinson, who was called up from Triple-A Sacramento to start Wednesday's game in Cleveland. The Giants had already ruled Bader out for the season shortly after the All-Star break, when the outfielder suffered further damage to his injured left foot in a scooter accident. Manager Tony Vitello said that even before the accident, Bader had been considered out for the season while struggling to recover from plantar fasciitis, which sent him to the IL on May 30. Bader slashed just .170/.198/.358 over 30 games in what was a highly disappointing first season with the Giants, who signed him to a two-year, $20.5 million deal in January.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RBIRBIs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 72% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line72supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.6 RBI(×0.96 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 0.9 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2020 games

25%over

5 over · 15 under

Medium confidence95% CI 11%–47%

Season26 games

27%over

7 over · 19 under

Medium confidence95% CI 14%–46%

Alternate lines — RBIs (RBI)

RBI over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RBI line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	27%	7/26
	8%	2/26
	8%	2/26
	8%	2/26

Last 20 games — RBI per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RBI by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home14%2/14Medium

Away42%5/12Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)24%4/17Medium

1 day25%1/4Low

2 days50%1/2Low

3+ days50%1/2Low

Last matchup — @ COL

May 29, 2026

1stof 30 in RBI allowed to hitters

COL pitching allows 5.6 RBI per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 162 games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 RBI 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 27% across the full season. COL has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 1st-most RBI of 30 teams (5.6 per game). His game-to-game RBI have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants

pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 27%.