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San Francisco GiantsJoel Peguero
#63 · P · 5-10 · 195 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: May 31, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.5 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListJoel Peguero isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 24, 2026
Peguero is scheduled to repeat the activity again Wednesday, and if all goes well, he could then start throwing live batting practice. The reliever has been on the shelf since June 1 due to a left hamstring strain and appears to be trending toward late-August return from the injured list.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)58neutral
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.6 K
L5 0.8 · L10 0.5 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season11 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 45% | 5/11 | |
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%2/5Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Joel Peguero has gone over 0.5 K 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 45% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.