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Pittsburgh PiratesKonnor Griffin
#6 · SS · 6-3 · 222 lb · 57 games
Stats updated: Jul 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 1.1 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListKonnor Griffin isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Finger Strain
- Est. return:
- Sep 4, 2026
Griffin was given an 8-to-10-week return timeline when he landed on the injured list Tuesday with a torn tendon in his left ring finger, so the Pirates will stash him away on the 60-day IL, ruling him out until at least Sept. 4. The move opens up a spot on the 40-man roster to help make room for Brandon Eisert and Jacob Gonzalez, both of whom were acquired in a trade with the White Sox on Friday.
Verdict
vs 1.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
1.3 H(×1.00 context)
L5 1.2 · L10 1.5 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season57 games
28%over
16 over · 41 under
High confidence95% CI 18%–41%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 41/57 | ||
| 1.5Current | 28% | 16/57 | |
| 5% | 3/57 | ||
| 4% | 2/57 | ||
| 0% | 0/57 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home32%10/31Medium
Away23%6/26Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)27%12/45Medium
1 day33%3/9Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Oneil Cruz out · Left Hand Fracture
Without (10g)
1.1 H
40% over 1.5
With (47g)
1.1 H
26% over 1.5
Ryan O'Hearn out · Left Quadriceps Strain+0.1 H when he sits
Without (12g)
1.2 H
25% over 1.5
With (45g)
1.1 H
29% over 1.5
Next matchup — @ MIL
Aug 5, 2026
29thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
MIL pitching allows 7.3 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 112 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Konnor Griffin has gone over 1.5 H 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 28% across the full season. MIL has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 29th-most H of 30 teams (7.3 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
PNC Park · Pittsburgh Pirates
neutral (runs ×0.97, HR ×0.90)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 28%.