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Chicago White SoxKyle Teel
#8 · C · 5-11 · 210 lb · 15 games
Stats updated: Jul 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.7 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListKyle Teel isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Ankle Sprain
- Est. return:
- Sep 8, 2026
When Teel was placed on the injured list, his timeline to return was unclear. The White Sox have since announced that Teel will be sidelined at least six weeks, or until the beginning of September. He's had a frustrating 2026 season, as he was unable to make his debut until June 22 due to a hamstring injury he suffered during the World Baseball Classic.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)74supports it
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.5 H(×0.82 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.6 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2015 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Season15 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 60% | 9/15 | |
| 13% | 2/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 | ||
| 0% | 0/15 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away71%5/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)40%2/5Low
1 day75%6/8Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs CLE
Aug 7, 2026
20thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CLE pitching allows 8.0 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Teel has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 60% across the full season. CLE has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 20th-most H of 30 teams (8.0 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Rate Field · Chicago White Sox
neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.06)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.