Los Angeles Angels

Kyren Paris Strikeouts (batter)

Stats updated: Sep 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kyren Paris has gone over 1.5 SO in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksStrikeouts (batter) · season avg 1.6 SO · our line

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Injured ListKyren Paris isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Finger Fracture
Est. return:: Feb 1, 2027

Paris has slashed .307/.427/.554 with 13 homes runs and 16 stolen bases across 288 plate appearances through 62 games since getting promoted to Triple-A Salt Lake on June 9. The 24-year-old got a run of 44 games for the Angeles in 2025 when he slashed .190/.266/.381 with six home runs and seven stolen bases across 139 plate appearances. He will look to improve upon that in September and may see action at second base, shortstop, left field or center field.

Verdict

vs 1.5 SOStrikeouts (batter)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it

Projection vs line56neutral

Consistency17argues against it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

1.5 SO(×1.02 context)

L5 1.6 · L10 1.6 · med 1.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 2.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 105 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 205 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Season5 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Alternate lines — Strikeouts (batter) (SO)

SO over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate SO line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	5/5
1.5Current	40%	2/5
	20%	1/5
	0%	0/5
	0%	0/5

Last 5 games — SO per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 SO by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Away50%2/4Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low

1 day0%0/1Low

2 days100%1/1Low

Next matchup — vs MIN

Sep 19, 2026

13thof 30 in SO allowed to hitters

MIN pitching allows 8.4 SO per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 153 games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 5 games, Kyren Paris has gone over 1.5 SO 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. MIN has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 13th-most SO of 30 teams (8.4 per game). His game-to-game SO have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Angel Stadium · Los Angeles Angels

neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×1.02)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.