Stats updated: Aug 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Luisangel Acuña has gone over 3.5 FS in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Over 3.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
BOS pitching allows 58.4 FS per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 113 games
ToughOver his last 10 games, Luisangel Acuña has gone over 3.5 FS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 41% across the full season. BOS has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 27th-most FS of 30 teams (58.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Rate Field · Chicago White Sox
neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.06)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 41%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.