Loading…
Texas RangersMichael Helman
#23 · CF · 6-0 · 195 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jun 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.5 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListMichael Helman isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Hand Fracture
- Est. return:
- Aug 13, 2026
Helman was placed on the 10-day IL on June 14 after suffering multiple fractures in his right hand after being hit by a pitch. The Rangers decided to move the 30-year-old to the 60-day IL in order to free up a spot on the 40-man roster. Helman only appeared in 15 games for Texas this season, recording just 35 plate appearances. Jared Kelenic will replace Helman on the 40-man roster.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
0.4 H(×0.92 context)
L5 0.4 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2011 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season11 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 45% | 5/11 | |
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)33%1/3Low
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days50%1/2Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kyle Higashioka out · Right Forearm Strain
Without (4g)
0.5 H
50% over 0.5
With (7g)
0.4 H
43% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs BAL
Aug 8, 2026
7thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
BAL pitching allows 8.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Michael Helman has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 45% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 7th-most H of 30 teams (8.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.