Cleveland Guardians

Rhys Hoskins Runs

Stats updated: Aug 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Rhys Hoskins has gone over 0.5 R in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 10 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRuns · season avg 0.4 R · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

Injured ListRhys Hoskins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Back Inflammation
Est. return:: Sep 22, 2026

Hoskins still has time to make it back from the injured list before the end of the regular season, though he'll need to take live at-bats in simulated games and/or head out on a minor-league rehab assignment prior to being activated. Once he rejoins the Guardians, Hoskins will likely occupy the short side of a platoon at first base with Nathaniel Lowe.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RRuns

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)91supports it

Projection vs line66supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

0.2 R(×0.98 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2020 games

35%over

7 over · 13 under

Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%

Season82 games

37%over

30 over · 52 under

High confidence95% CI 27%–47%

Alternate lines — Runs (R)

R over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate R line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	37%	30/82
	4%	3/82
	0%	0/82
	0%	0/82

Last 20 games — R per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 R by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home37%14/38Medium

Away36%16/44Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)33%15/46Medium

1 day44%7/16Medium

2 days22%2/9Low

3+ days56%5/9Low

Next matchup — vs ATH

Sep 20, 2026

2ndof 30 in R allowed to hitters

ATH pitching allows 5.7 R per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 154 games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Rhys Hoskins has gone over 0.5 R 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 37% across the full season. ATH has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 2nd-most R of 30 teams (5.7 per game). His game-to-game R have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Progressive Field · Cleveland Guardians

neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×0.97)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 37%.