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AthleticsShea Langeliers
#23 · C · 5-11 · 205 lb · 92 games
Stats updated: Jul 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 1.1 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListShea Langeliers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee Surgery
- Est. return:
- Sep 22, 2026
Gallegos previously reported Monday that Langeliers was expected to undergo a meniscus repair, but the catcher instead required a trim of the meniscus. A meniscectomy typically carries a recovery timeline of 3-to-6 weeks, so the Athletics haven't officially ruled Langeliers out for the season. That said, with the Athletics sitting at 44-62 and well out of the mix for a playoff spot, Langeliers is unlikely to be rushed along in his rehab and may be brought back only for a handful of games at the tail end of the season, if at all. Jonah Heim is poised to take over as the Athletics' primary backstop in Langeliers' absence.
Verdict
vs 1.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 75% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line75supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
1.1 H(×0.91 context)
L5 1.4 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
20%over
4 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 8%–42%Season92 games
28%over
26 over · 66 under
High confidence95% CI 20%–38%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 67/92 | ||
| 1.5Current | 28% | 26/92 | |
| 7% | 6/92 | ||
| 0% | 0/92 | ||
| 0% | 0/92 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home31%13/42Medium
Away26%13/50High
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)29%22/75High
1 day18%2/11Medium
2 days0%0/2Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer out · Not Specified Groin Surgery+0.3 H when he sits
Without (79g)
1.1 H
30% over 1.5
With (13g)
0.8 H
15% over 1.5
Denzel Clarke out · Left Hamstring Strain-0.3 H when he sits
Without (72g)
1.0 H
22% over 1.5
With (20g)
1.3 H
50% over 1.5
Next matchup — @ BOS
Aug 7, 2026
17thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
BOS pitching allows 8.1 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 114 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Shea Langeliers has gone over 1.5 H 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 28% across the full season. BOS has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 17th-most H of 30 teams (8.1 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Sutter Health Park · Athletics
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.03)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 28%.