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Philadelphia PhilliesTanner Banks
#58 · P · 6-1 · 205 lb · 28 games
Stats updated: Jul 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 1.1 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListTanner Banks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Forearm Strain
- Est. return:
- Sep 7, 2026
It's unclear when Banks' forearm began bothering him, but he allowed five runs and four home runs over 1.1 innings in his two appearances since being recalled from Triple-A Lehigh Valley. Chase Shugart is up from the minors to take Banks' spot on the roster and in the bullpen.
Verdict
vs 1.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 72% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line72supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.8 K
L5 0.6 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.4 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
30%over
6 over · 14 under
Medium confidence95% CI 15%–52%Season28 games
32%over
9 over · 19 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–51%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 22/28 | ||
| 1.5Current | 32% | 9/28 | |
| 4% | 1/28 | ||
| 0% | 0/28 | ||
| 0% | 0/28 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%6/14Low
Away21%3/14Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day20%2/10Low
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days40%4/10Low
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Rafael Marchán out · Left Knee Tendinitis
Without (17g)
1.1 K
24% over 1.5
With (11g)
1.2 K
45% over 1.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Tanner Banks has gone over 1.5 K 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 32% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia Phillies
neutral (runs ×1.03, HR ×1.09)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 32%.