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San Francisco GiantsVictor Bericoto
#78 · RF · 6-1 · 210 lb · 17 games
Stats updated: Jul 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Venezuela
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListVictor Bericoto isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Oblique Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 10, 2026
Bericoto will have to complete a minor-league rehab assignment prior to being activated, but he has a few more boxes to check in his recovery from a left oblique strain before the Giants send him to one of their affiliates. The 24-year-old outfielder has been cleared to begin baseball activities, with Vitello noting that Bericoto resumed playing catch and hitting off a tee within the past few days.
Verdict
vs 1.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 67% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
1.1 H(×1.14 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2017 games
29%over
5 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 13%–53%Season17 games
29%over
5 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 13%–53%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 12/17 | ||
| 1.5Current | 29% | 5/17 | |
| 0% | 0/17 | ||
| 0% | 0/17 | ||
| 0% | 0/17 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home20%2/10Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)33%2/6Low
1 day29%2/7Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Matt Chapman out · Not Specified Abdomen Strain+0.3 H when he sits
Without (6g)
1.2 H
50% over 1.5
With (11g)
0.9 H
18% over 1.5
Next matchup — @ TEX
Aug 5, 2026
10thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
TEX pitching allows 8.4 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 113 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Victor Bericoto has gone over 1.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 29% across the full season. TEX has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 10th-most H of 30 teams (8.4 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 29%.