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San Diego FCAmahl Pellegrino Assists
Stats updated: May 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Amahl Pellegrino has gone over 0.5 AST in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Linepays more
Assists · season avg 0.1 AST · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 ASTAssistsNo readFireFactor 1/100· model 7% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it
Projection vs line11argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.1 AST
L5 0.0 · L10 0.1 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2011 games
9%over
1 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–38%Season11 games
9%over
1 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–38%Alternate lines — Assists (AST)
AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 9% | 1/11 | |
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home17%1/6Low
Away0%0/5Medium
Days since last game
3+ days10%1/10Medium
Last matchup — vs VAN
May 24, 2026
31stof 32 in AST allowed to forwards
VAN allows 0.1 AST per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 68 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Amahl Pellegrino has gone over 0.5 AST 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 9% across the full season. VAN has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 31st-most AST of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game AST have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 9%.
More Amahl Pellegrino research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.