Charlotte

Andrew Privett Shots on Target

Stats updated: May 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Andrew Privett has gone over 0.5 SOT in 1 of his last 8 decided games (13%), measured against our typical-game line.

Line

PrizePicksShots on Target · season avg 0.1 SOT · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

Verdict

vs 0.5 SOTShots on Target

Cold underFireFactor 66/100· model 87% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line87supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.1 SOT

L5 0.2 · L10 0.1 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 108 games

13%over

1 over · 7 under

Medium confidence95% CI 2%–47%

Last 208 games

13%over

1 over · 7 under

Medium confidence95% CI 2%–47%

Season8 games

13%over

1 over · 7 under

Medium confidence95% CI 2%–47%

Alternate lines — Shots on Target (SOT)

SOT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate SOT line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	13%	1/8
	0%	0/8
	0%	0/8
	0%	0/8

Last 8 games — SOT per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 SOT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/2Low

Away17%1/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days14%1/7Low

Last matchup — vs NE

May 23, 2026

2ndof 32 in SOT allowed to defenders

NE allows 0.2 SOT per game to defenders (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 86 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 8 games, Andrew Privett has gone over 0.5 SOT 1 of 8 decided times (13%) — versus 13% across the full season. NE has been a favorable matchup for defenders this season, allowing the 2nd-most SOT of 32 teams (0.2 per game). His game-to-game SOT have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 13%.