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San Diego FCIan Murphy Goals
Stats updated: Jul 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Ian Murphy has gone over 0.5 G in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Line
Goals · season avg 0.0 G · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 GGoalsFrozen underFireFactor 78/100· model 100% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Projection
0.0 G
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Last 102 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Last 202 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Season2 games
0%over
0 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%Alternate lines — Goals (G)
G over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/2 | |
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 G by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Last matchup — @ COL
Jul 23, 2026
31stof 32 in G allowed to defenders
COL allows 0.0 G per game to defenders (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 80 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 2 games, Ian Murphy has gone over 0.5 G 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. COL has been a tough matchup for defenders this season, allowing the 31st-most G of 32 teams (0.0 per game). His game-to-game G have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
More Ian Murphy research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.