
Stats updated: May 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Nicholas Simmonds has gone over 0.5 AST in 0 of his last 4 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/4 | |
| 0% | 0/4 | ||
| 0% | 0/4 | ||
| 0% | 0/4 |
Over 0.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
COL allows 0.1 AST per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 78 player-games
NeutralOver his last 4 games, Nicholas Simmonds has gone over 0.5 AST 0 of 4 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. COL has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 17th-most AST of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game AST have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.