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CF MontréalPrince Owusu
#9 · F · 6' 3" · 192 lb · 17 games
Stats updated: Aug 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Shots · season avg 2.2 SH · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 SHShotsNo readFireFactor 18/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)87supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.9 SH
L5 3.6 · L10 2.8 · med 2.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2017 games
35%over
6 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 17%–59%Season17 games
35%over
6 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 17%–59%Alternate lines — Shots (SH)
SH over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 15/17 | ||
| 65% | 11/17 | ||
| 2.5Current | 35% | 6/17 | |
| 12% | 2/17 | ||
| 6% | 1/17 | ||
| 6% | 1/17 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 SH by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%2/8Low
Away44%4/9Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days43%6/14Low
Last matchup — vs NE
Aug 1, 2026
14thof 32 in SH allowed to forwards
NE allows 1.5 SH per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 63 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Prince Owusu has gone over 2.5 SH 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 35% across the full season. NE has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 14th-most SH of 32 teams (1.5 per game). His game-to-game SH have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 35%.