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Vancouver WhitecapsYohei Takaoka
#1 · G · 6' 0" · 174 lb · 33 games
Stats updated: Nov 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Saves · season avg 2.4 SV · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 56% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.4 SV
L5 4.4 · L10 3.9 · med 4.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 4.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
100%over
10 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 72%–100%Last 2020 games
70%over
14 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 48%–85%Season33 games
52%over
17 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 35%–67%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 28/33 | ||
| 67% | 22/33 | ||
| 2.5Current | 52% | 17/33 | |
| 24% | 8/33 | ||
| 9% | 3/33 | ||
| 3% | 1/33 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home47%8/17Medium
Away56%9/16Medium
Days since last game
2 days80%4/5Low
3+ days48%13/27Medium
Last matchup — @ MTL
Nov 7, 2026
15thof 32 in SV allowed to goalkeepers
MTL allows 3.2 SV per game to goalkeepers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 36 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Yohei Takaoka has gone over 2.5 SV 10 of 10 decided times (100%) — versus 52% across the full season. MTL has been a middling matchup for goalkeepers this season, allowing the 15th-most SV of 32 teams (3.2 per game). His game-to-game SV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.