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Detroit Red WingsAlbert Johansson
#20 · D · 6' 0" · 200 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Oct 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.6 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAlbert Johansson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Undisclosed Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Nov 12, 2026
Johansson may not be available at the start of the trip, but the fact that he will be with the team is a good indication that he'll return soon. The 25-year-old blueliner has already missed six games due to his undisclosed injury. In 11 outings prior to getting hurt, Johansson failed to find the back of the net while recording one assist, 14 shots and 12 blocks.
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
1.7 SOG(×1.09 context)
L5 1.6 · L10 1.6 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 3.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 1.5Current | 60% | 3/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 | ||
| 0% | 0/5 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days50%1/2Low
Next matchup — @ STL
Nov 11, 2026
2ndof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
STL allows 1.6 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 53 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Albert Johansson has gone over 1.5 SOG 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. STL has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 2nd-most SOG of 32 teams (1.6 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.